Make up your mind Houston: Fall in the mornings, summer in the afternoons.

If it feels more like summer than fall outside, you’re not alone.

When does Houston typically see its first taste of autumn? Brown broke down recent trends, showing that, historically, the first cold fronts have reached the area in mid-October. Over the past five years, most first fronts have arrived between October 14 and 22.

But last autumn was anything but typical; 2024 didn’t bring a cold front until November, making it the third warmest October on record. That kind of abnormal fall weather set the stage for this year’s warm start to October.

Today’s Forecast:

Another crisp fall morning blends into a summer-like afternoon, as the weather plays its familiar rinse-and-repeat weather pattern. We’ll be waking up in the 60s the next couple of days, followed by highs in the 80s and 90s by afternoon.

We’re tracking yet another air quality alert, with high ragweed pollen levels stirring up allergies. Adding to the mix, elevated fire risks persist due to ongoing drought conditions, with burn bans in effect across multiple counties. An air quality alert has been issued on Tuesday for Houston, Galveston, and Brazoria, with elevated fire danger continuing through the evening. Skip the bonfires, especially in our northern areas where fire risk remains higher compared to other parts of Houston.

Rain? Not much in sight—our next shot at showers isn’t until Friday into the weekend. So, embrace the fall vibes (even if it still feels like summer) but hold off on those bonfires.

Elevated Fire Risk: We continue to monitor and track fire dangers in Montgomery, Liberty, and Chambers Counties. Harris County will vote on Thursday regarding a potential burn ban.

Dry, warm weather is expected to persist through most of this week with another period of elevated fire risk anticipated. Even when we start to see a little more humidity by the end of the week, we’re running well below normal for rainfall so far this fall.

• Avoid spark-causing activities, as fires can flare up fast.
• Never leave a fire burning unattended or without purpose.
• Secure tow chains to prevent dragging and sparking.
• Don’t drive or park over tall grass.
• Avoid tossing lit cigarettes onto the ground.

Tracking the tropics:

Tropical Storm Lorenzo is churning out at sea with sustained winds of 60 mph, but it’s expected to steer clear of land.

Your extended forecast:

Overall, we’re still looking to enjoy a nice stretch of comfortable mornings through the middle of the week. Afternoons will still stay warm and we’ll see more humidity by the end of the week as a front will brings showers and thunderstorms Friday and Saturday. And it looks like our next fall morning looks to be at the end of the 10 day forecast

If you notice interesting weather in your neighborhood, share your photos and videos with KPRC 2 at Click2Pins!