Rain chances finally return this weekend for Houston after dry weather pattern

If you’ve been feeling like October has been unreasonably hot in the Houston area, you’re not alone, and it’s not your imagination.

As of Wednesday, the area has experienced 11 days above 90 degrees, putting 2025 in a close race for the top spot against last year’s record of 18 such days in October 2024. In fact, this year currently sits in second place for the most October 90-degree days, with half the month left to go.

Thursday’s Forecast:

Houston will see morning lows in the 60s, but afternoon highs are forecast to hit the upper 80s and low 90s. This is well above what’s typical for mid-October. It will be mostly sunny.

Weekend Rain Chance:

Rain chances will increase Friday as winds shift from the Gulf increasing our humidity. Our rain chances are highest Saturday night into Sunday morning as a cold front passes through.

This will bring shower and thunderstorm chances across SE Texas. By Sunday afternoon we will be dry with cooler, less humid air moving in.

Elevated Fire Risk

We continue to monitor fire dangers across SE Texas. Waller County went under a burn ban Wednesday. Harris County will vote on Thursday regarding a potential burn ban.

Dry, warm weather is expected to persist through most of this week with another period of elevated fire risk anticipated. Even when we start to see a little more humidity by the end of the week, we’re running well below normal for rainfall so far this fall.

• Avoid spark-causing activities, as fires can flare up fast.
• Never leave a fire burning unattended or without purpose.
• Secure tow chains to prevent dragging and sparking.
• Don’t drive or park over tall grass.
• Avoid tossing lit cigarettes onto the ground.

We will likely see more counties added to the list through the next few weeks, especially if we stay in this hot and dry pattern, which appears that we will.

Tracking the tropics:

Tropical Storm Lorenzo is churning out at sea with sustained winds of 60 mph, but it’s expected to stay in the central Atlantic before weakening into the weekend.

Your extended forecast:

Afternoons will still stay warm and we’ll see more humidity by the end of the week as a front will brings showers and thunderstorms Friday and Saturday. And it looks like our next fall morning looks to be at the end of the 10 day forecast

If you notice interesting weather in your neighborhood, share your photos and videos with KPRC 2 at Click2Pins!