Challenging record high temperatures to start the week in Houston

Our next tropical system forms this week in the Atlantic Ocean

Oct 5, 2025 - 20:00
Challenging record high temperatures to start the week in Houston

Monday’s forecast:

We start our work week with temperatures that are unusual for October in the Houston area. Temperatures climb to near-record levels over the next several days, with highs landing between 92 and 94 degrees through midweek. Record highs for these dates have stood at 94, 95, and 96 degrees since 1928, 1956, and 1962. While it’s not expected that Houston will break any records, it’s shaping up to be remarkably warm, even for early fall. Mornings aren’t offering much relief either, starting out in the lower to mid-70s. Challenging record highs through Wednesday

Rain chances low but not zero:

If you’re hoping for a downpour or even a decent shower, the odds aren’t in your favor this week. I’m going with a 10 to 20 percent chance for showers each day through Wednesday. Any rain that does pop up is expected to be quick and isolated, with the best chance found toward the southwest part of the area. It’s not a high chance, but it’s there, so you’re not surprised. The highest chance I could find was 20%

RELATED: When will the first “real” cold front arrive in Houston?

Tracking the tropics:

We’re watching a tropical wave near the coast of Africa which is producing a broad area of disorganized thunderstorms. Tropical storm Jerry could form at any time and I think it will be our next hurricane. Long range forecasts show it not hitting the United States but the Windward Islands and Puerto Rico are encouraged to keep an eye on updates. This northward turn is consistent with the pattern seen for most Atlantic storms this hurricane season.Chance of becoming tropical storm Jerry is 50 to 70 percentSunday October 12, the storm moves north

Your extended forecast:

We’re still waiting on some actual fall weather, but nothing but lower 90s are on board for the next 10 days. What to expect through Wednesday of next week

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